The Department of Hydrology and Meteorology (DHM) has reported that the monsoon’s low-pressure trough is currently located south of its normal position. This shift, combined with moisture-laden winds from the Arabian Sea, has been contributing to increased rainfall activity in various parts of the country. According to meteorologists, this atmospheric condition is expected to keep the skies mostly cloudy across Nepal for the next 24 hours, with varying intensities of rainfall predicted in several provinces.
Sudden Downpour in Far-Western Province
Heavy rain has been recorded in several districts of Sudurpaschim Province since Monday morning. Notably, Dodhara in Kanchanpur experienced an intense downpour, with 39.8 millimeters of rainfall recorded in just the last hour.
Similarly, Gaaira in Doti received 15 millimeters of rain, while Sahukharka in Dadeldhura reported 10.8 millimeters during the same time frame. Other districts including Baitadi and Bajhang also saw continuous rain showers, making travel and outdoor activities challenging for residents. Local authorities have advised caution as such intense rainfall, especially in hilly regions, can increase the risk of landslides and flash floods.
Cloudy Skies Across the Country
The DHM has forecast that daytime conditions on Monday will remain generally cloudy nationwide. While the cloud cover will bring cooler temperatures in some areas, it will also be accompanied by sporadic rainfall events. The weather pattern indicates a higher chance of rain in eastern and central regions, particularly in the hilly and mountainous belts, where moisture accumulation tends to be higher due to orographic effects.
Moderate to Heavy Rain Likely in Multiple Provinces
Meteorologists have stated that Koshi Province, Bagmati Province, Lumbini Province, and Sudurpaschim Province are likely to see moderate rainfall in several locations. Additionally, a few areas in the remaining hilly and Terai regions could also experience similar rainfall intensity.
Significantly, one or two places in Bagmati Province and Sudurpaschim Province are expected to witness heavy rain. These areas may experience short but intense rainfall bursts that could lead to localized flooding in low-lying regions.
Nighttime Forecast Indicates Continued Rainfall
Looking ahead to Monday night, the DHM expects the skies to remain generally cloudy throughout the country. Rainfall is forecast for parts of Sudurpaschim Province, as well as scattered locations in Bagmati Province, Gandaki Province, and Lumbini Province.
In addition, a few spots in the hilly regions of other provinces and isolated areas in the Terai are expected to record moderate rainfall during the night. The pattern suggests a continuation of monsoon activity well into the night, with possible localized heavy rain in some pockets.
Implications for Agriculture and Daily Life
The ongoing rainfall is a double-edged sword for many communities. On one hand, farmers, especially in rain-fed agricultural areas, welcome the consistent moisture, which supports paddy and other seasonal crop growth. On the other hand, heavy downpours can damage standing crops, flood farmlands, and delay harvest schedules.
In the Far-Western and hilly regions, where infrastructure is often vulnerable, intense rainfall can disrupt transportation networks. Rural roads, already weakened by earlier rains, may become impassable due to landslides or flooding.
Precautionary Measures Advised
Authorities and the DHM have urged residents, especially those in landslide-prone and flood-prone areas, to remain alert. People living near riverbanks have been advised to monitor water levels closely and avoid crossing swollen rivers.
Travelers are encouraged to check the latest weather updates before setting out, particularly in hilly districts where road closures are common during heavy rain. The DHM also recommends that local governments be prepared to respond quickly to emergencies, ensuring that rescue and relief resources are available if needed.
Regional Rainfall Patterns Reflect Monsoon Variability
The uneven distribution of rainfall across provinces highlights the complexity of Nepal’s monsoon climate. While some areas receive intense rainfall within short time spans, others may only experience light showers. The southward position of the monsoon trough means that much of the moisture is concentrated in southern and western regions, while northern and higher-elevation areas may see reduced precipitation.
Meteorologists emphasize that such variations are common during this phase of the monsoon season, which often brings both localized heavy rains and extended periods of cloud cover without significant precipitation.
Outlook for the Coming Days
If the monsoon trough remains in its current position, rainfall activity is likely to persist in western and central Nepal, with occasional shifts affecting eastern regions as well. The DHM will continue to monitor the situation closely and issue updates as necessary.
Communities are encouraged to stay informed through official forecasts and advisories. While the monsoon brings much-needed water for agriculture and ecosystems, it also demands vigilance to minimize risks from weather-related hazards.
